Browsing Archive: February, 2010
Ken Bank's recent post "Social Mobile and the Missing Metrics" really started my wheels turning. Among many other things, it started me thinking about how we could be smarter in implementation so as to facilitate true impact evaluation. The first thing that came to mind is Oportunidades, formerly known as Progressa, the famous social assistance program in Mexico that made cash transfers contingent on school attendance and visits to health clinics. When Opportunidades rolled out, they couldn'... Continue reading ...
Aid Allocation Constraints and The Value of Rigorous Evaluations
I’m taking a class on bridging research and
policy with Rohini Pande and Sendhil Mullainathan this semester. Each week we have to answer discussion questions related to
our readings, and last week mine was chosen to share with the class. I figure that’s a pretty good sign it’s
worth sharing with the world at large as well.
In your view what are (up to) three important principles that an international organization should follow in allocating development aid?
I’m going to take a slig... Continue reading ...
Does Development Economics Have Its Own Uncertainty Principle?
Posted by Jenny Stefanotti on Saturday, February 13, 2010,
In :
Economics
In quantum mechanics there is something called the
Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle: we can never know both the exact location and
momentum of a particle – at small enough scales the more precise we are with
one, the less precise we can be with the other. I just realized that when it comes to drawing policy
implications, development economics might have an uncertainty principle of its
own. Esther Duflo spoke at TED this week, talking about the need for evidence and experimentation in devel... Continue reading ...
Problems With Global Poverty Measurements (Pt. 2 Conceptual)
Posted by Jenny Stefanotti on Saturday, February 13, 2010,
In :
Economics
In addition to the technical challenges with creating a global poverty count as outlined in my post below, there are also conceptual issues with poverty counts that I would be remiss to not include.
First is the simple idea of a head count, as defined by those above or below a defined consumption level. People's lives are not significantly different just below or just above that line, and yet those above are excluded from our numbers. Small changes to the line can lead to big changes in t... Continue reading ...
Problems With Global Poverty Measurements (Pt.1 Technical)
Posted by Jenny Stefanotti on Friday, February 12, 2010,
In :
Economics
Measuring global poverty levels is hard, so hard the actual numbers might be of limited use. According to Angus Deaton, the godfather of poverty measurement, "it seems impossible to make statements about changes in world poverty when the ground underneath one's feet is changing in this way." I thought it would be helpful to illuminate why.
Technically speaking, creating a measurement of global poverty is a daunting endeavor. It hinges on three key things: 1) household surveys 2) a single ... Continue reading ...
Gmail: A Trojan Horse for Social Networking? (with a bonus Emerson passage!)
"A man should learn to detect and watch that gleam of light which flashes across his mind from within, more than the lustre of the firmament of bards and sages. Yet he dismisses without notice his thought, because it is his. In every work of genius we recognize our own rejected thoughts; they come back to us with a certain alienated majesty. Great works of art have no more affecting lesson for us than this. They teach us to abide by our spontaneous impression with good-natured inflexibilit... Continue reading ...
Promoting Entrepreneurship in Developing Countries: Starting to Think Through Government's Role
Dani Rodrik's teaching forms the basis for how I approach industrial policy - namely that governments should intervene where markets fail, and implement policies that target those failures. This principle also forms the basis for an issue I have with how he approaches policies to promote economic growth through innovation.
In short, Rodrik's position is that market failures lead to an inefficient allocation of resources, which is particularly acute in developing countries. He argues that en... Continue reading ...
Hausmann + Rodrik = A Surprisingly Bad Idea
This post is a follow up to yesterday's about an article in this week's Economist that discusses the work of one of my professors, Ricardo Hausmann. Though there are important caveats I think people need to understand (see my post), the work has tremendous value in helping us understand how the structure of economies evolve. The real problem comes when Hausmann partners with Dani Rodrik and Charles Sable to translate his findings into policy prescriptions. Somehow, something has gone terr... Continue reading ...
Hausmann's Product Space
There's an article in this week's economist about Ricardo Hausmann's product space. I'm happy to see it getting mainstream attention. It's incredibly
important work, and it just makes intuitive sense. But before we start using it for policy decisions, we should be aware of some of the
major caveats. To summarize, what Hausmann and Hildago did was create a mapping of products across the global economy, defining proximity by looking at the probability of a country having a comparative advanta... Continue reading ...
Technology, Development, and Psychology
Generally, I argue that access to more information via technology is good for development. Access to information (e.g. prices) improves market efficiency. Communication flows fostered by the Internet strengthen democracy. With this information, people are empowered to debate the direction they want their societies to move in. I've read my Amartya Sen, after all.
But could too much information actually be counterproductive? Apparently, yes. As I sat in David King's first lecture in my Cul... Continue reading ...
Technology and Philosophy
Damon Horowitz, the CTO of Aardvark, is one of the smartest people you'll ever meet. And one of the most interesting too. After getting is master's in computer science at the MIT Media Lab and diving deep into artificial intelligence, he took his career for a left turn and got a PhD in philosophy from Stanford.
A couple weeks ago he gave fascinating and thought provoking talk at the TEDx event in San Francisco about the boundary between machines and people. He has a lot of interesting th... Continue reading ...
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