How will you measure your life?

August 19, 2010
 
It's not often I blog about an article I've read without adding substantial commentary of my own, but I read one recently that really struck a chord with me.  As my recent posts make clear, I've been thinking a lot about what's important in life, and the values and norms that have evolved in industrialized societies.  Something else happened that also heightened the article's impact on me: a week and a half ago, my grandmother passed away.   

The article is entitled "How will you measure your life?" by Christian Christensen, an HBS professor.  A few excerpts in particular stood out for me (emphasis in bold is mine):

"When people who have a high need for achievement have an extra half hour of time or an extra ounce of energy, they’ll unconsciously allocate it to activities that yield the most tangible accomplishments.  And our careers provide the most concrete evidence that we’re moving forward. ...  

In contrast, investing time and energy in your relationship with your spouse and children typically doesn’t offer that same immediate sense of achievement. ...  

You can neglect your relationship with your spouse, and on a day-to-day basis, it doesn’t seem as if things are deteriorating. People who are driven to excel have this unconscious propensity to underinvest in their families and overinvest in their careers—even though intimate and loving relationships with their families are the most powerful and enduring source of happiness." 

Christensen goes on (yes he is a very religious man):

"I’ve concluded that the metric by which God will assess my life isn’t dollars but the individual people whose lives I’ve touched.  I think that’s the way it will work for us all.  Don’t worry about the level of individual prominence you have achieved; worry about the individuals you have helped become better people." 

I included the two sentences I bolded in the the eulogy I delivered at my grandmother's funeral.  And I went on to say that by these measures, my grandmother -- a woman with no education who nurtured all who crossed her path -- realized a level of success in her life that most of us can only hope for.  

Please read the article.  It's a wake up call all too many of us probably need.  Then do me a favor.  Call your grandmother, if you're lucky enough to still have one.

 

Economists and the New York Times Behaving Badly

July 24, 2010
 
There was a New York Times op-ed last week entitled Economics Behaving Badly which argues that politicians are becoming over-reliant on behavioral economics to solve problems it was never meant to solve.

While I agree with the broader points of the article, I'm amazed to see the two professors (one of economics and psychology) write -- and the New York times publish -- a piece with blatant inaccuracies.

  
From the article:

As policymakers use it to devise programs, it’s becoming clear that behavioral economics is being asked to solve problems it wasn’t meant to address. Indeed, it seems in some cases that behavioral economics is being used as a political expedient, allowing policymakers to avoid painful but more effective solutions rooted in traditional economics.

Take, for example, our nation’s obesity epidemic. The fashionable response, based on the belief that better information can lead to better behavior, is to influence consumers through things like calorie labeling — for instance, there’s a mandate in the health care reform act requiring restaurant chains to post the number of calories in their dishes.

Calorie labeling is a good thing; dieters should know more about the foods they are eating. But studies of New York City’s attempt at calorie posting have found that it has had little impact on dieters’ choices.
 
So, here's what's so incredible about this.  A mandate requiring restaurant chains to post calories is not a behavioral economics solution. It's a traditional economics solution.  Even more incredibly, the reason that studies have found that calorie posting has little impact on dieters choices is, I would bet money on it, largely due to behavioral factors.

Let me explain.  Calorie labeling is rooted in the belief that people don't understand the health implications of their decisions.  They need more information.  This is what economists call an information asymmetry.  It's a market failure. Calorie labeling addresses the information asymmetry.  Information campaigns are a traditional tool to address a market failure.

Now why don't dieters make different decisions when given this information?  Surely the price differential between healthy and unhealthy food is part of the answer.  But, the diet and fitness industry is enormous.  People are clearly willing to pay money to slim down.  So, why don't they do it up front in their diet choices?  Why do we continually make New Year's resolutions to lose weight, and fail do to so?  These questions are rooted squarely in behavioral economics.  

Which is to say, the reason that calorie posting (a traditional economics intervention) had little impact on dieter's choices is almost certainly attributable in part to the fact that the intervention did not take behavioral economic into account. 

Ironic. 
 
 

Spawned by TED: Jessica Jackley on Philanthropic Engagement

July 20, 2010

Jessica Jackely, co-founder of Kiva and the newly launched Profounder, gave an intensely personal talk at TEDGlobal last week.  It was met with a standing ovation and actually, it was the single talk that brought tears to my eyes.  In addition to conveying her deep passion for development, Jessica had some very insightful things to say about the psychology of philanthropy and the mechanisms with which those who give engage with those who receive.

According to Jackley, the exchange that characterizes the way many give today can get in the way of the thing we want most.  We often give more to alleviate our own sense of guilt than out of a desire to truly help.  Doing something, she says, should not be a business transaction.  

Furthermore, the way we tell, share, and participate in stories is of deep importance.  The distinction between us and them and rich and poor are false dichotomies.  We shouldn’t think about the world along these lines, because it promotes the wrong mindset towards engagement.

Jessica goes on to say that the best way to change people’s lives is to give them control over what they believe is important.  We should be engage in a way that validates dignity and promotes respect (I imagine so many Tweeps doing cartwheels of joy at that statement).

Lending, rather than giving, enables this according to Jackley.  Whereas giving is transactional, lending fosters engagement through ongoing dialogue and continued attention.  Put succinctly, (Love + Money) > Money.

I think Jessica’s general points about philanthropic motivations and engagement are excellent. Personally, I’ve been fascinated by the psychology of philanthropy of late.  What motivates people give?  How do they make lending decisions?  What do they want in return?  These are critical questions for understanding the aid community.  Furthermore, I think she’s right on point that we should engage in a way that empowers, rather than paternalistically.  But I’m not sure I agree with her final conclusion about lending vs. giving.    

First, I don’t think that engaging in a way that validates dignity and gives people control over their lives and grant making are mutually exclusive.  Not all of the things done in development are market oriented, and I believe there should be a continued role in supporting non-profit activities.  However, in tune with Jessica’s points, I think that individuals on the ground should be empowered to determine and execute on those activities.  This validates dignity while also supporting a broader scope of initiatives than would be the case if the focus were on investments that bring a return.

Secondly, though the Kiva model certainly achieves Jessica’s first objective of empowering people to do what they believe is important, I’m not convinced a Kiva transaction is that different from just giving away money.  When we talk about social investing, I think an important question to ask is, “what’s the investor’s alternative?” It is a very different thing if that alternative is giving money to charity or investing in a mutual fund.  I think in many cases, especially cases involving small amounts, people make decisions as if they were simply giving money away.  When someone goes on Kiva, I don’t think they’re determining to whom to loan money based on creditworthiness (it would be impossible for someone sitting at a computer in London to assess an entrepreneur and opportunity in Nairobi at any rate).  Rather, I think they’re doing it based on a picture and to Jessica’s point, the story that the individual brings. Their motivation is more about charity and less about investment.  Perhaps that's just fine, but I think it's a distinction worth noting -- especially when looking to crowdsourcing for larger sums (which is what Profounder does).  

In my mind, it’s not the distinction between giving and lending that’s notable when it comes to Kiva, but the distinction between empowering and paternalistic interventions.
 
Bravo to Jessica for one hell of a TED talk, at any rate!
 
 

Spawned by TED: Ethan Zuckerman on the Internet and Imaginary Cosmopolitanism

July 20, 2010

Ethan Zuckerman is a Senior Researcher at the Berkman Center for Internet and Society at the Harvard Law School.  Incredibly and embarrassingly, I never managed to link with the Berkman Center during my time in Cambridge, so I was thrilled to see Ethan would be speaking at TEDGlobal this past week.  His talk was another of the highlights of the conference, and one of particular relevance for those of us interested in how the access to information that the Internet affords impacts development.

In essence Ethan said that while we perceive the Internet to indicate a globally connected world, in reality the information we consume is confined to like-minded microcosms.  We end up in “filter bubbles,” interacting with people we already know, which isn’t how the Internet was supposed to be.  The media, he says, is less global by the day.  New media isn’t helping us that much after all. 

The reason?  The tools we use to access the information available to us via the Internet are great at helping us find the information we’re looking for, but fail to engineer serendipitous encounters with information you don’t know you need.  We look to our social network for this type of content, and as a consequence find ourselves in like-minded flocks.

This is an issue because real and interesting problems global in scale and scope, require global conversations to get to global solutions.

The way to get out, Zuckerman says, is to find someone who will bump you out of your flock.  Bridge figures like Erik Hersman (nice shout out to @whiteafrican in his talk!) can play this role, since are connected to multiple worlds.  He also says we should cultivate xenophiles, who will cross the bridge and bring the message back home.

While this all makes great sense to me, I wonder if the bridge figures and xenophiles would only take us so far.  This is actually something I wrote about awhile back in a blog posting here.  As my former professor David King explained, the world is getting narrower as the information we have access to becomes broader.  The more we have to process, the more we’re forced to rely on more efficient mechanisms to process that information.  In doing so we succumb to confirmation bias, tuning into channels that confirm what we already believe.   By contrast when we only had a few channels to tune into (i.e. before the era of cable television), we by necessity of the diversity of the audience consumed a diversity of information.

If this is true (and it makes sense to me) then we’d seek out bridge figures who would only bump us so far out of the flock.  My hunch is the reality of our psychology will make addressing this problem even harder than Ethan suggests.  

 

Spawned by TED: Tim Jackson on Economic Growth, Sustainability, and Institutions

July 19, 2010
 

Tim Jackson, who among other things is the UK government’s advisor on sustainable development, raised an important issue at TEDGlobal this week in Oxford.  At least I thought so, because it struck at one of the central things on my mind these days (outlined in a recent blog posting here).

Jackson makes two points, one obvious and the other less so.  The first is that economic growth is fundamentally constrained by the resources of this planet.  Our way out to date has been a blind faith in our ability to improve efficiency and build technology, but the reality is that we can’t keep going on like this forever.  We need to stop looking to economic growth as a proxy for human prosperity.  We’ve grown our economies so much already that we risk undermining the very prosperity we seek.  

His less obvious point is the one I find fascinating and critical.  The institutions we’ve created – capitalism in particular – has negative implications for our culture, values, and norms.  As he put it so eloquently, which was instantly met with applause from the audience and retweeted widely:  

 
“We spend money we don’t have, on things we don’t need, to make impressions that don’t last, on people we don’t care about.”
 

Why do we do this?  Jackson says that human beings experience tension between values in two dimensions: novelty-seeking behavior vs. tradition / culture preservation and self-regarding behavior vs. other regarding behavior.  Our institutions, however, encourage us to operate in only one quadrant of ourselves: the self-regarding, novelty seeking one. Taking this into account, he says that addressing our issue of unsustainable economic growth isn’t about changing human nature, it’s about changing out institutions to better reflect the full spectrum of human nature. It’s not about overthrowing capitalism, but broadening it to more fully reflect our values.  


Unfortunately Jackson didn’t have time left in his 18 minutes to elaborate much on what these institutions would look like, but I’m looking forward to reading his book Prosperity Without Growth: Economics for a Finite Planet (anyone want to read it with me?).  From what I could glean, he’s talking about social enterprise.   

I think one of the central challenges in shifting institutional structures is the enormity of the information asymmetry and the reality of the human mind.  Put simply, do we really think that people can access all of the relevant environmental and ethical information about the products they buy?  And even if they could, do we actually think they could process it all?

Usually when consumers can’t possibly assess such things, the government comes to the rescue.  This is why lawyers must pass the bar, doctors are board certified, and the food and drug administration exists.  These organizations protect us because we can’t possibly make informed decisions ourselves.

So I’m curious how Jackson addresses these challenges when it comes to shifting institutions.  There will certainly be more posts on this topic as I read his book in the coming weeks.
 
 

TED and Burning Man

July 18, 2010

I spent last week in Oxford at my first TEDGlobal conference.  I was unexpectedly struck by the parallels between this prestigious gathering of global intelligentsia and an event ostensibly as far away at the other side of the spectrum as possible – Burning Man. 

Burning Man is near impossible to explain to the uninitiated, let alone succinctly.  It’s like dropping yourself on another planet with an entirely different species of human being.  You’re on a dusty dried lakebed that looks like the moon (known as the playa), without money and branding, wearing some ridiculous costume, surrounded by creativity at every turn.  One's first impression is often of some absurd hippy drugfest in the desert, but I assure you there is much more to it than that.  This link or this link will give you more information. 


Here are the parallels I observed between the Burning Man and TED:

1) People step outside of the confines of their everyday routine and realize how much they’re missing.  At TED, it’s about stepping back and pondering a bigger picture to inform your work.  At Burning Man, it’s about recognizing how differently humans can organize themselves, even if only for a week. 

2) People are much more open to each other than almost everywhere else.  A TED badge or presence on the playa translates into a willingness to engage with whoever stumbles upon your path.  An hour into meeting someone last week, deep in conversation, he began talking about something deeply personal. He said to me, “We’re in TED space, so I’m going to be very open about this.”

3) There are infinitely more fascinating things to do with your time than possible, so it’s futile to attempt to allocate it.  At TED, every person is passionate about what he or she does and is utterly fascinating.  You can attempt to engage with the speakers but the person sitting right next to you is just as incredible.  At Burning Man creative things to explore are literally ubiquitous.  So in both instances, you may as well give up on the planning and stumble.  For a type A like me, this alone is liberating.

4) You’re intensely over-stimulated.  There’s so much to do and see and it’s temporary, so you don’t want to miss a thing.  You go and go and go and go and by the time it comes to and end, you’re utterly exhausted. 

5) When it’s over, you crash.  As Chris Anderson warned us on Friday, “there’s so much dopamine running through your brains, you’ll probably be a bit sad for the next few days”.  In my case, my brain is still so turned on, the crash hasn’t hit.  Yet.  


Both events will change you.  If there is any way you can to to either, I encourage you to make it happen.
 

 

One of the more exciting things happening in access to finance

July 18, 2010

Imagine you are a bank.  What information would you need to determine the creditworthiness of an entrepreneur or a small business?  If the business is at an early stage, financial statements may not be very valuable.  If the business has little physical capital to be used as collateral, it might be too risky.  If the entrepreneur has no credit history, it might be game over.  Microfinance gets around this with the group-lending model, because while it is costly for a lender to assess the creditworthiness of an entrepreneur with no collateral, others in her social network can.  Furthermore the lending group's assessment is credible because its members have something to lose if the entrepreneur defaults on her loan.  Microfinance as well as banks, however, do not reach many small and medium enterprises in developing countries.

The work at the Entrepreneurial Finance Lab (EFL) at Harvard's Center for International Development has devised an innovative approach to reaching this segment.  Outlined in a recent Business Week article, EFL has been researching the use of a psychometric test to evaluate the creditworthiness of entrepreneurs.  It asks questions such as "Do you enjoy going to parties?" to assess business skills, integrity, intelligence, and motivation.  Three years of pilots in Kenya, South Africa, Rwanda, Colombia, and Peru have shown that banks using the test can realize equivalent or better results than traditional credit assessment models.  Some banks saw default rates drop from 40% to 25%.  From here the EFL will roll out a even bigger test in Kenya and South Africa in August, with the largest bank on the African Continent, Standard Bank of South Africa.

Some are skeptical that researchers from Harvard can determine the creditworthiness of entrepreneurs in developing countries.  It isn't the researchers who are making the decisions but algorithms based on the data the test gathers that determines it.  At it's core the approach is implying that this sort of algorithm using data glean directly from entrepreneurs may be better at determining creditworthiness than humans collecting and processing information themselves (see point number one of "what turns me on lately" below).  The bottom line is that the banking system as currently structured isn't reaching many entrepreneurs in developing countries.  By relying instead on a radically different set of information and process to make lending decisions, we can potentially bring credit to entrepreneurs who currently do not have access.  I haven't seen the study in detail but considering who's driving the work, I doubt it would be easy to poke holes in the evidence.  

This effort happens to be led by Asim Khwaja, one of my favorite professors from Harvard.  He is not just a brilliant analytical mind who has studied firms and financial markets in developing countries extensively, but he is also an out of the box thinker.  So while this may sound like a crazy idea relative to the status quo, it's actually an innovation on par with microfinance. 

If this works, it has the potential to be revolutionary.  All of us concerned about access to finance in developing countries should most certainly stay tuned.

 
 

Things that turn me on lately

July 18, 2010

A few things have been on my mind for awhile.  Topics I'm particularly fascinated by, and that I think are important for development.  They are the following:

How people access and process information, and what the deficiencies in that process mean for the challenges we face in international development.  I actually think this is very relevant for a long list of issues, especially aid and access to capital.

Prospect theory and the implications for development.  In sum, prospect theory argues that we value things not absolutely, but relative to other things.  This implies we're basically hamsters on a wheel, always trying to keep up with the Joneses.

The evolutionary role of fairness and how it shapes our behavior today (see recent posting from one of Sendhil's papers).

Where the right equilibrium is when it comes to measuring effectiveness and creating accountability in development.  In short, I think we have more to learn from the private sector than from academia (i.e. I have quite a few criticisms of the randomista camp).

How early stage investors access and process information to make investment decisions.  I'm very interested in fostering innovation and access to capital is an important part of it.  I wrote a paper on this for Asim Khwaja's class.  I thought he would throw up all over it because I argued that there are very significant behavioral elements.  He didn't.

The role of proximity in early stage venture capital, for the same reasons as mentioned above.  I wrote my final paper on this in Asim's class.  He actually liked it (he's unimaginably critical, which is part of why I love him so much).  He also thought I should push on the issue more, so I will post a cliff notes version soon.

* * *

My little vacation from blogging came to a screeching halt this past week at TED, and many of the talks touched on these topics.  My mind is bursting at the seams and I have to get my thoughts in writing to alleviate my excitement, so a deluge of posts are coming your way.
 

Is this really what we're striving for?

July 18, 2010
 

I'm in the middle of biggest transition state of my life.  Not only am I just about to embark in a new direction with my career, but I'm also just about to transition from a girlfriend to a wife, and motherhood looms on the horizon.  As I move on to these significantly different phases of my professional and personal life, I'm doing a considerable amount of thinking about my priorities and how I want to live.  In doing so, I'm reminded of a real problem with the society I exist in. 

We're brought up to strive to get the best grades, to get into the best university, to get the best job.  What is it that's most widely lauded for these best and brightest of my generation's college graduates?  The highest paying, of course: investment banking and management consulting.  These are jobs where we work 100 hours a week, sometimes living out of a suitcase five days a week.  And once we have those jobs, we're applauded when we earn a raise or a promotion.  Competition for such recognition and income leads us to work even harder and compromise more and more of our personal interests.  We may live in big houses and drive BMWs, but what are we sacrificing for it?  One of the partners I worked with at Accenture once told me he was leaving one day for yet another business trip and his daughter said to him, "Daddy, when are you coming to visit us again?" 


So as I ask myself the questions I outlined in my previous post, and as I look at the norms in American society, I can't help but wonder -- is this what we're striving for?  As a society we're valuing money, a vehicle for consumption and symbol of status, above all else.  We outsource parenting to nannies, our personal interests become a to do list that collects dust for decades, our family understands that we can't find the time to send a birthday card or a present because we're just so very busy.  (There are fascinating psychological and economical explanations for why we've landed here, but those will have to wait for later posts.)  We spend so much time talking about the environmental problems with development, but what about the cultural ones?

My first experience traveling to a developing country back when I was 19 resulted in an unexpected reaction.  I didn't think, as Sheryl WuDunn told us to at TED this past week, "Wow, I've won the lottery.  My life is so much better than these Egyptian people's.  It's my responsibility to help make their lives better."  Instead I thought to myself, "Wow, these people seem a hell of a lot closer to the things that ultimately matter most in life."  

At the end of the day it's hard to argue that I'd trade my current state for living on less than a dollar a day, but I think it's important to recognize that for all we've gained with economic development, there's also a lot we've lost.  As our professional lives become more competitive, which ultimately leads to pre-school becoming competitive, we should recognize that this societal problem is only going to get worse.  
 

Asking myself, "What's the goal again?"

July 18, 2010
 

One of the things I'm doing with my time off between graduation and working full time is taking a massive step back when it comes to my thinking about development.  I'm asking myself the following questions:

What do I believe should be the societal goals of "development"?  Is there some level of overall well being (or freedom as Sen would define it) that we consider a right of everyone that inhabits this planet?  If so, upon what basis are those rights determined?  Or is it that, given the human desire to "give back", there will always be a role for development so long as there is inequality? 

Answering these questions has led me to political philosophy and theories of justice.  It's an ocean that is more often than not obtuse, but I look forward to engaging on this topic in the coming months.  I think it's an important one, and it doesn't seem like we talk about it enough.  

 
 
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